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FOIA Number: 2006-0458-F
FOIA
This is not a textual record. This is used as an
administrative marker by the William J. Clinton
Presidential Library Staff.
Collection/Record Group:
Clinton Presidential Records
Subgroup/Office of Origin:
Communications
Series/Staff Member:
Don Baer
Subseries:
10133
OA/ID Number:
FolderiD:
Folder Title:
'96 Marginal House Races [Folder 1]
Stack:
Row:
Section:
Shelf:
Position:
s
90
2
5
3
�1996 Senate Election Judgements
Mar~nality
I%= Previous Total Vote Winning Percentage!
Map Prepared for the Democratic National Committee by NCEC Services, Inc.
Marginal Democrat (9)
Marginal Republican (4)
Non-Marginal Democrat (6)
Non-Marginal Republican (14)
�1996 State Targeting (2/24/95)
Target Group (Electoral Vote)
.... . . __. . J,....
W = Electoral Vote
Map Prepared by the Nalional Committee for an Effective Congress
Top End (70)
Play Hard (171)
Play Very Hard (1 08)
Watch (111)
Big Challenge (78)
�1996-e TargeHng- February 24,1995
A
#of
EV
TOP END
PLAY HARD
PLAY VERY
HARD
WATCH
BIG
CHALLENGE
F
C
D
92Vote
Clinton
92Vole
Bush
92Vole
C-B
3-wav
3-wav
3-wav
B
Slate
G
H
92 Vole 92 Vole 92Vote
3-way
Cfinlon
Bush
Rank
2-wav
2-wav
DP
Rank
N
0
p
94 Vole Disp. Inc.
House
93-92
01
Rank
(Chnal Rank
s
T
Avg.
Score
Stale
90.0
54.5
59.2
55.2
50.6
50.4
58.8
52.5
53.7
1
8
2
7
20
21
3
12
9
89.5%
61.2%
63.8%
64.7%
66.1%
50.8%
49.2%
56.7%
47.6%
1
·6
4
3
2
12
19
7
24
5.1%
4.6%
3.4%
4.4%
3. 7%
3.1%
3.2%
3.8%
3.3%
2
6
24
9
18
33
31
17
26
1
5
7
8
10
15
15
15
15
35
16
11
14.
14
5
10
15
15
3
9
5
13
8
8
22
15
6
6
27
17
56.3
51.1
52.6
52.3
52.1
51.3
52.4
57.9
52.8
51.9
5
19
11
14
15
17
13
4
10
16
48.8%
48.1%
51.1%
47.4%
41.6%
49.5%
49.0%
49.2%
53.5%
49.3%
22
23
11
27
41
17
21
19
9
18
2.1%
4.2%
1.8%
2.4%
5.1%
2.8%
1.1%
2.2%
6.1%
3.1%
46
12
47
42
2
40
49
44
1
33
16
-16
17
17
19
19
19
19
20
20
44
46
34
43
41
48
42
41
42
43
47
5
8
10
3
6
4
1
6
5
-1
5
22
19
15
27
20
26
29
20
22
32
22
55.9
48.2
49.3
49.2
50.0
50.2
49.9
50.1
48.9
51.3
48.6
6
28
29
24
22
26
23
30
17
33
46.9%
50.3%
51.7%
49.9%
42.9%
.502%
44.6%
•50.1%
38.2%
44.2%
27.3%
28
13
10
16
38
14
32
15
46
33
51
4.3%
3.0%
2.9%
4.5%
3.4%
-0.0%
2.2%
2.8%
4.3%
3.3%
3.2%
10
37
39
8
24
50
44
40
10
26
31
9.1%
29.0%
29.0%
36.7%
35.4%
30.4%
35.6%
32.5%
34.3%
75.5%
18.0%
18.5%
11.4%
13.0%
15.7%
14.2%
10.0%
14.3%
1
3
2
12
10
6
8
15
7
43
50
33
18
10
6
5
8
54
11
3
23
NewYork
Michigan
Minnesota
Arkansas
NewMexico
Connecticut
California
Washington
Montana
Pennsylvania
49.7%
43.8%
43.5%
53.2%
45.9%
42.2%
46.0%
43.4%
37.6%
45.1%
33.9%
36.4%
31.9%
35.5%
37.3%
35.8%
32.6%
32.0%
35.1%
36.1%
15.8%
7.4%
11.6%
17.7%
8.6%
6.4%
13.4%
11.4%
2.5%
9.0%
5
20
11
4
17
21
9
12
29
16
51
49
52
58
53
49
50
53
51
46
38
41
48
39
35
38
48
37
47.1%
38.8%
44.1%
45.6%
41.1%
43.3%
43.0%
44.6%
40.1%
40.2%
43.5%
42.4%
30.4%
33.9%
41.0%
36.8%
37.3%
. 40.6%
41.3%
35.9%
38.3%
35.3%
4.7%
8.4%
10.2%
4.6%
.4.3%
6.0%
2.4%
3.3%
4.2%
1.9%
8.2%
23
18
14
24
25
22
30
27
26
31
19
49
54
44
46
47
52
43
47
47
42
52
-
M
94Vole
House
Dem'Yo
1
2
3
13
4
11
12
17
8
84.6%
47.0%
47.5%
48.1%
48.4%
46.1%
49.8%
42.5%
48.6%
11 Tennessee
4 Maine
11 Missouri
9 Louisiana
11 WISCOnsin
71owa
15 New Jersey
8 Kentucky
8 Colorado
21 Ohio
3 Delaware
L
80
21
19
11
18
13
12
9
14
D.C
Rhode Island
Massachusetts
Hawaii
W. Virginia
Vermont
Maryland
Oregon
Illinois
56
K
10
39
41
44
41
43
44
34
36
3
4
10
4
5
3
12
7
22
90
60
59
55
59
56
J
92Vole 92Vote
C-8 2-waY Dem
Rank
Perf
2-waY
38
36
D.C
Rhode Island
Massachusells
Hawaii
W. Virginia
Vermont
Maryland
Oregon
Illinois
103
121
131
137
142
150
204
215
218
241
468
435
417
407
401
396
388
334
323
320
21
23
23
21
26
26
30
27
28
28
29
Tennessee
Maine
Missouri
Louisiana
Wisconsin
Iowa
New Jersey
Kentucky
ColoradoOhio
Delaware
252
256
267
276
287
294
309
317
325
346
349
297
286
282
271
262
251
244
229
221
213
192
352
377
391
404
408
412
444
447
189
186
161
147
134
130
126
94
91
40.7%
40.9%
43.4%
42.9%
37.6%
34.7%
40.6%
44.2%
45.0%
-3.6%
-1.9%
-0.7%
0.6%
1.3%
2.7%
-3.5%
-12.0%
-4.4%
38
35
34
33
32
28
37
48
39
48
42
43
47
43
48
42
43
47
51
44
46
46
42
51
48
58
53
-3
-2
-3
1
1
-3
-6
-15
-9
35
33
35
29
29
35
39
47
41
47.6
46.4
49.7
47.8
48.4
48.8
47.2
50.0
45.9
38
43
27
37
35
31
41
24
44
62.0%
42.8%
44.1%
45.5%
39.3%
38.9%
47.6%
53.7%
47.6%
5
39
34
31
43
44
24
8
24
3.1%
4.9%
4.6%
3.5%
1.6%
3.7%
3.6%
-1.0%
3.1%
33
5
6
22
48
18
20
51
33
29
30
24
32
33
33
34
34
35
S. Dakota
Florida
N.Carolina
Georgia
New Hampshire
Nevada
Texas
N. Dakota
Virginia
9
12
8
8
5
3
8
7
4
6
3
5
Alabama
Indiana
Arizona
S.Carolina
Ulah
Wyoming
Oklahoma
Mississippi
Idaho
Kansas
Alaska
Nebraska
40.9%
36.8%
36.5%
39.9%
24.7%
34.0%
34.0%
40.8%
28.4%
33.7%
30.3%
29.4%
47.6%
42.9%
38.5%
48.0%
43.4%
39.6%
42.6%
49.7%
42.0%
38.9%
39.5%
46.6%
-6.7%
-6.1%
-2.0%
-8.1%
-18.7%
-5.6%
-8.6%
-8.9%
-13.6%
-5.2%
-9.2%
-17.2%
43
42
36
44
51
41
45
46
49
40
47
50
46
41
43
44
35
45
49
44
41
44
41
39
53
47
47
56
62
54
51
55
58
55
57
61
-10
-6
-4
-14
-27
-9
-2
-14
-17
-11
-15
-21
43
39
38
45
51
41
33
45
49
44
47
50
48.7
45.1
47.5
48.5
42.9
42.7
46.7
43.5
43.0
43.0
42.4
47.6
32
45
40
34
49
50
. 42
46
47
47
51
38
46.6%
43.2%
38.8%
40.4%
46.1%
43.7%
42.3%
.43.5%
35.0%
36.5%
36.5%
35.7%
29
37
45
42
3.5%.
3.9%"
3.3%
3.6%
3.9%
4.2%
3.3%
4.1%
5.0%
3.0%
3.3%
2.3%
22
15
26
20
15
12
26
14
4
37
26
43
36
36
36
37
38
38
38
39
42
43
44
47
Alabama
Indiana
Arizona
S.Carolina
Utah
Wyoming
Oklahoma
Mississippi
Idaho
Kansas
Alaska
Nebraska
50
47
47
49
EV
New York
Michigan
Minnesota
Arkansas
New Mexico
Connecticut
California
Washington
Montana
Pennsylvania
37.1%
39.0%
42.7%
43.5%
38.9%
37.4%
37.1%
32.2%
40.6%
36
GOP
538
535
531
521
517
512
509
497
490
S. Dakota
Florida
N. carolina
Georgia
New Hampshire
Nevada
Texas
N. Dakota
Virainia
30
Cum.
EV
v
3
7
17
21
26
29
41
48
70
3
25
14
13
4
4
32
3
13
35
40
u
460
469
481
489
497
502
505
513
520
524
530
533
538
Greenberg Research, Inc.
78
69
57
49
41
36
33
25
18
14
8
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�
Dublin Core
The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/.
Title
A name given to the resource
Don Baer
Creator
An entity primarily responsible for making the resource
Office of Communications
Don Baer
Date
A point or period of time associated with an event in the lifecycle of the resource
1994-1997
Is Part Of
A related resource in which the described resource is physically or logically included.
<a href="http://clinton.presidentiallibraries.us/items/show/36008" target="_blank">Collection Finding Aid</a>
<a href="https://catalog.archives.gov/id/7431981" target="_blank">National Archives Catalog Description</a>
Identifier
An unambiguous reference to the resource within a given context
2006-0458-F
Description
An account of the resource
Donald Baer was Assistant to the President and Director of Communications in the White House Communications Office. The records in this collection contain copies of speeches, speech drafts, talking points, letters, notes, memoranda, background material, correspondence, reports, excerpts from manuscripts and books, news articles, presidential schedules, telephone message forms, and telephone call lists.
Provenance
A statement of any changes in ownership and custody of the resource since its creation that are significant for its authenticity, integrity, and interpretation. The statement may include a description of any changes successive custodians made to the resource.
Clinton Presidential Records: White House Staff and Office Files
Publisher
An entity responsible for making the resource available
William J. Clinton Presidential Library & Museum
Extent
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537 folders in 34 boxes
Text
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Original Format
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Paper
Dublin Core
The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/.
Title
A name given to the resource
96 Marginal House Races [Folder 1]
Creator
An entity primarily responsible for making the resource
Office of Communications
Don Baer
Identifier
An unambiguous reference to the resource within a given context
2006-0458-F
Is Part Of
A related resource in which the described resource is physically or logically included.
Box 8
<a href="http://www.clintonlibrary.gov/assets/Documents/Finding-Aids/2006/2006-0458-F.pdf" target="_blank">Collection Finding Aid</a>
<a href="https://catalog.archives.gov/id/7431981" target="_blank">National Archives Catalog Description</a>
Provenance
A statement of any changes in ownership and custody of the resource since its creation that are significant for its authenticity, integrity, and interpretation. The statement may include a description of any changes successive custodians made to the resource.
Clinton Presidential Records: White House Staff and Office Files
Publisher
An entity responsible for making the resource available
William J. Clinton Presidential Library & Museum
Format
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Adobe Acrobat Document
Medium
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Reproduction-Reference
Date Created
Date of creation of the resource.
1/12/2015
Source
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42-t-7431981-20060458F-008-007-2014
7431981